K-defense export orders halve to ~$8B through July as Big-4 backlogs shrink and export "control tower" stays toothless

Korean defense export orders totaled roughly $8 billion through the end of July 2026 — about half the pace of the prior year, against full-year totals of $13.5 billion in 2023, $9.6 billion in 2024, and $15.4 billion in 2025. Backlogs at three of the Big Four (Hyundai Rotem, KAI, LIG D&A) have started to contract, with only Hanwha Aerospace still growing. Analysts tie the slowdown to buyer-nation "domestic-first" procurement policies, deeper localization and technology-transfer demands, and slipping timelines on Middle East mega-packages. A parallel critique published the same week argues Korea still lacks an export control tower with real authority: the Defense Industry Development Act names the DAPA commissioner as export-support coordinator, but the role requires Ministry of National Defense sign-off and can only "request" action from other agencies, leaving decision rights scattered. DAPA's export-support budget rose 53.8% to 391.1 billion won this year, yet only 2.5 billion won (0.6%) went to workforce development, and just 135 of 17,027 military alternative-service placements went to the defense industry.